The Political Economy of Besiegement: Food and Fuel as Economic Warfare and the Game of the Siege. Evidence from Eastern Ghouta, Syria (2013-2018)

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09 November 2026 16:15 to 17:15 Online 09 Nov Across conflicts from Syria and Gaza to Sudan, Myanmar and Ukraine, control of civilian food has re-emerged as a weapon of war. We argue that sieges are economic systems, not merely humanitarian catastrophes: rent markets rewarding both sides of the siege line. Drawing on Coase, we model a siege as a repeated bargaining game between a regime and a fragmented enclave. The model explains why enemies trade rather than fight, and why sieges end in assault once extractable value is exhausted.

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